AGENDA 2019

10:15 Registration & Coffee
10:50 Welcome from the organisers
SESSION 1
11:00  PANEL 
THE GENERATION MIX - OPTIMISING YOUR PORTFOLIOS
 
  • Decarbonisation and the growing appetite for renewables - where does the opportunity lie as renewables are set to undercut gas and coal totally by 2030?
  • Rise of electric mobility - infrastructure, storage and grid technologies
  • Developments in emerging markets
 

Harry Huang, Head of Gas, Power & Derivatives, Petrochina

Navin Parasram, Head of Gas, Oil & FX Trading, Engie

Michel Kolly, Head of Business Unit Cross-commodity Trading & Origination, Alpiq

Stephen Kane, Gas Markets Specialst

11:25   PANEL 
EUROPE'S ELECTRICITY MARKET DESIGN BY 2030
 
  • The single European electricity market - how is this looking 11 years off?
  • Will radical re-design be necessary by 2025?
  • Will market designs truly be convergent across Europe?
  • How does the UK fit in light of Brexit?
 

MODERATOR Justin Colley, Deputy Editor, European Electricity Report, Argus Media

Paul Dawson, Head of Regulatory Affairs, RWE

Ricardo Rossi, Head of Wholesale Gas & Trading Regulation, Centrica

Chris Welby, Head of Regulation, Bristol Energy

11:50 GROUP DISCUSSION IN TABLES
12:15 FEEDBACK TO REST OF GROUP
12:40 NETWORKING LUNCH
SESSION 2
13:50  PANEL 
PRICE DRIVERS IN POWER MARKETS
 
  • Key technical drivers for Europe's most liquid power and gas markets
  • Supply side factors
    • production
    • storage
    • export
  • Demand side factors
    • weather
    • industrial demand
    • economic factors
 

MODERATOR Justin Colley, Deputy Editor, European Electricity Report, Argus Media

Clive Lambert, Chief Technical Analyst, FuturesTechs

Joao Jesus, Head of Structuring & Pricing, Gazprom

14:15 RENEWABLE ENERGY AND PPAS: HEDGING WITH EEX POWER FUTURES
 
  • How Price Risk is created in PPAs
  • How Power Futures can be used to mitigate Price Risk
  • Case study of long-term hedging in the Spanish Power market
 

Viviana Ciancibello, Business Developer, EEX

14:40 GROUP DISCUSSION IN TABLES
15:05 FEEDBACK TO REST OF GROUP
15:40 NETWORKING BREAK
SESSION 3
16:10 AI IN GAS MARKETS - EVALUATING AND ADAPTING FORECASTS
 
  • The need for forecasting to understand future risk and opportunity
  • A systematic approach to forecast evaluation
  • Examples for:
    • ​Measuring directional accuracy (hit rate) based on bull/bear neautral signal tracked through time
    • Comparing MAPE accuracy of different forecasters for a single variable of interest
    • Measuring/improving directional accuracy (Hit Rate) of a forecast
      for a variable that moves through time
    • Measuring/improving MAPE of a forecast for a variable that
      moves through time
  Nazim Osmancik, VP Group Economics & Fundamentals, Centrica
16:35 USAGE OF PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING IN AUTOMATED TRADING
 
  • How to structure market data to train models
  • What is DeepAR and how can we leverage it in energy trading
  • Designing trading signals for usage in automated trading
  Wolfgang Eichberger, Co-Founder, Trayport Visotech
17:00 GROUP DISCUSSION IN TABLES
17:25 FEEDBACK TO REST OF GROUP
17:50 END OF EVENT DRINKS RECEPTION AT:
TwoRuba Bar, Canary Wharf

 

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